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Clearly, Not Everyone Is Getting Rich Off The Stock Market

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Well, the NY Fed was out today with its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit for Q4 2017. Clearly, Americans are in a lot of debt. Take a look. Just a couple of quick hits from the report. Total U.S. household debt rose $193 billion in the 4th quarter, to a new all-time peak of $13.15 trillion. That's 17.9% above the most recent trough in Q2 2013. Broken down by segment, what do you suppose was the largest gain in percentage terms? Credit cards, with a 3.2% increase. In the picture above, the widening gap represented by the red arrows reflects the fact that non-housing debt is rising at a faster pace than housing debt. Here's what's troubling about that. Below is a picture of the stock market, as represented by the S&P 500 index, over that same period; from the most recent credit trough in Q2 2013 to the end of 2017. And thus, the title of this article. Over that period, the S&P 500 index rose by 75%; from roughly 1,600 to 2,800. Apparently, ho...

Some Life & Investment Advice To A Millennial

I recently wrote an article for Seeking Alpha suggesting a specific ETF-based portfolio for millennials to consider as their New Year's resolution going into 2017.

In the comments section, I received the following question from a 25-year old reader.
If this has already been answered, I apologize, but why would someone invest in this portfolio rather than increase their IRA contributions or save up to contribute to their Roth? The reason I am asking is that I have been thinking about investing outside of my IRA, but to me, it does not make sense to use that extra money in a taxable account, where I could use it in a nontaxable instead . . .
I ended up writing a fairly long response to this young man. As I reviewed it afterward, it occurred to me that this might form a nice article in and of itself.

So, here it is:

Noah,

I'm quite a bit older than you are, but perhaps I can address your question by describing how I run my financial affairs.

First, pretty much all my life I have lived by the mantra "as little debt as possible." As just one example; after buying my first house, I decided I would save FIRST and pay for any upgrades with cash, as opposed to taking a second mortgage, running up a home equity line or the like. Now, that meant I had to be patient. I didn't have the nicest looking house on the block right away. But neither was I ever in deep debt.

Cars? Haven't had a loan on a car since I was in my early-30s. Well, that's not technically true. I bought a Subaru Outback in 2013 and they gave me interest-free 48-month financing. I had plenty of cash in savings to write a check for the car. But, at zero interest, I decided to keep that money in savings and at least get my lousy 1%. So, let's modify that to "haven't had a loan on a car on which I paid any interest since I was in my early-30s."

As far as 401(k), my policy has been to be sure I took full advantage of the employer match. It's free money, right? Typically, this has meant I have contributed 6% of my salary. The key is that I started early enough that I haven't had to do anything dramatic in later life in a desperate attempt to catch up. 

But, at 25, there's another component to your life. All the years between now and when you can get to that retirement money. For me, I break it down into 2 basic categories: 1) SAVINGS - I have online savings accounts at Ally Bank and Synchrony Bank and have enough stashed away to cover any and all "emergency fund" needs, pull some out once in a while for a nice vacation to Italy (see the beautiful picture on my Twitter account and personal blog), and other such. 2) INVESTMENTS - Over and above that, I invest in ETFs (and a couple of individual stocks) just like I recommend in my articles. While my goal is to rarely if ever touch this money, I could if I wanted to. So, for example, if an incredible opportunity to purchase a piece of real estate popped up, I could go here for the funds.

In summary, I guess I would say that life has two parts. Sure, the retirement component is important. But you've also got a lot of years to live before then. Make sure you handle your finances holistically, with all segments of your life in mind.

Oh yeah, and be sure to have a little fun along the way. The sad reality is that any of us can have the most perfectly-laid plans negatively impacted by some unforeseen event. A now-deceased uncle of mine, who lived through the Depression, once told me to live life from two perspectives: 1) Make sure to put something away for the future but, 2) Also never to forget to have at least a few great experiences while you are young (and healthy) enough to enjoy them!


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